rodnyb
03-31 01:08 PM
Very well said.
1. DOS has to move fast in May to test if there are hidden demand (ppl who missed 07/2007 filing, porting, dependent filing). Those new filing cannot get be approved before October 2011. So they can move up to Nov/Dec 2006 safely in May. Also DOS/CIS, who communicate with each other for sure, will know they should process those pre-adjudicated cased first to clear the inventory.
2. In June, July, August, they could be cautious but still move ahead up to March 2007.
3. September is critical, as that time, if DOS doesn't want to waste any quota, (100% CIS cannot approve any cased filed in that month), they have to move to a point to get all quota used. Based on 12K/half year, or 12K/year from EB1, say 20K be safe this year from EB1. 7K from EB2 ROW as last year, 8K from EB3, 0 from FB (EB2 get only 10k/4 last year as 10K FB is divided by Eb1/2/3/4), and normal 2.8K for EB2 I/C each (6K total), there are total 41K possibly for EB2 I/C.
4. Porting (6K this year), New filing (ppl who missed 07/07 with PD before 07/07), could have a negative efffect
5. The inventory for EB2 I/C is about 34K before 07/2007 (based on DOS October/2010 and CIS inventory)
6. This is very close. Will DOS move beyond 07/2007 a little to allow new filings (those won't get approved in Sept) and also make CIS easier to clear all 07/2007? This will be a judgement call. I am 50/50 on that.
7. There are many factors that will play in the scenario.. But I am sure EB2 I/C 09/2011 PD will be pass
May 2007 100%
June 2007 80%
July 2007 60%
Sept 2007 30%
Nov 2007 10%
Dec 2007 or Current 0% (DOS/CIS learned the lesson)
Visa allocation chief mentioned in AILA comment that USCIS knows visa usage pattern. Which means that they know pending I 140 for EB1 in pipeline and they also know that average time to get approve new I 140 is X months ( 4 months ) so they know if person files in May 2011 chances are rare that he/she can get GC from 2011 quota.I am not saying is that applicant can't get it but when u look at I 485 complexity and add scrutinity on EB1 I 140 its more than 4 months to get GC from start to finish without any RFE.
That is why they are so confident to release quota now. which may bring date so much forward so that can attract new cases and move back dates to certain point in time. Specially this is how DOS does for all family based CP cases. When they think they have 10k visas coming they move dates to cover 15k out of which 12k may reply on time and they always have control to retrogress dates if they run out of visas.
Big question is how far they want to go and get new cases. If they don't go upto Mid 2008 in next 1 year , Eb2 will loose some visas to EB3 and dates for EB2 will be "C" , if they go with some calculated guess and usage pattern + buffer they should go well into early 2009 with in next 1 year.
1. DOS has to move fast in May to test if there are hidden demand (ppl who missed 07/2007 filing, porting, dependent filing). Those new filing cannot get be approved before October 2011. So they can move up to Nov/Dec 2006 safely in May. Also DOS/CIS, who communicate with each other for sure, will know they should process those pre-adjudicated cased first to clear the inventory.
2. In June, July, August, they could be cautious but still move ahead up to March 2007.
3. September is critical, as that time, if DOS doesn't want to waste any quota, (100% CIS cannot approve any cased filed in that month), they have to move to a point to get all quota used. Based on 12K/half year, or 12K/year from EB1, say 20K be safe this year from EB1. 7K from EB2 ROW as last year, 8K from EB3, 0 from FB (EB2 get only 10k/4 last year as 10K FB is divided by Eb1/2/3/4), and normal 2.8K for EB2 I/C each (6K total), there are total 41K possibly for EB2 I/C.
4. Porting (6K this year), New filing (ppl who missed 07/07 with PD before 07/07), could have a negative efffect
5. The inventory for EB2 I/C is about 34K before 07/2007 (based on DOS October/2010 and CIS inventory)
6. This is very close. Will DOS move beyond 07/2007 a little to allow new filings (those won't get approved in Sept) and also make CIS easier to clear all 07/2007? This will be a judgement call. I am 50/50 on that.
7. There are many factors that will play in the scenario.. But I am sure EB2 I/C 09/2011 PD will be pass
May 2007 100%
June 2007 80%
July 2007 60%
Sept 2007 30%
Nov 2007 10%
Dec 2007 or Current 0% (DOS/CIS learned the lesson)
Visa allocation chief mentioned in AILA comment that USCIS knows visa usage pattern. Which means that they know pending I 140 for EB1 in pipeline and they also know that average time to get approve new I 140 is X months ( 4 months ) so they know if person files in May 2011 chances are rare that he/she can get GC from 2011 quota.I am not saying is that applicant can't get it but when u look at I 485 complexity and add scrutinity on EB1 I 140 its more than 4 months to get GC from start to finish without any RFE.
That is why they are so confident to release quota now. which may bring date so much forward so that can attract new cases and move back dates to certain point in time. Specially this is how DOS does for all family based CP cases. When they think they have 10k visas coming they move dates to cover 15k out of which 12k may reply on time and they always have control to retrogress dates if they run out of visas.
Big question is how far they want to go and get new cases. If they don't go upto Mid 2008 in next 1 year , Eb2 will loose some visas to EB3 and dates for EB2 will be "C" , if they go with some calculated guess and usage pattern + buffer they should go well into early 2009 with in next 1 year.
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SunJoshi
01-01 09:02 AM
Sorry, although this is an independent thread, I cannot help myself posting the same thing here. Dont want to miss a chance to spread info on this within our retrogression victims:
This according to washingtonpost.com's editorial. See the editorial here:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...123100764.html
This House member is apparently retiring in 2007 after serving his current term.
Here is an extract from his article that hits the homerun when it comes to retrogression. (please read this article entirely to get to know what this guy is all about).
We rarely hear about the long and shameful wait of up to five years facing a person seeking to immigrate legally into the United States, or the legitimate cross-border business that finds roadblocks at every turn. Kolbe consistently pushed the government to treat the people caught in this bureaucratic wastelands with respect. To be sure, he was a strong advocate of tougher border enforcement, but he knew that enforcement should be only a single component of a much bigger strategy.
This man is honest, candid and outspoken and unpopular:( at home(arizona) because of that. But the keyword here is candid and well-informed:). If the EB retrogression is presented properly to him, he could be an effective voice in the house.
Now, does anyone live in Arizona's 8th congressional district who can do something here. Arizona's 8th is most of Tucson, eastern Pima County, all of Cochise County and parts of Pinal and Santa Cruz Counties.
The congressman's official site is http://www.house.gov/kolbe/
Logic,
This is good info. We must try to get a meeting with the congressman. I'm sure we can find someone from AZ to help. If not, one of us can travel there and present our case.
SJ
This according to washingtonpost.com's editorial. See the editorial here:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...123100764.html
This House member is apparently retiring in 2007 after serving his current term.
Here is an extract from his article that hits the homerun when it comes to retrogression. (please read this article entirely to get to know what this guy is all about).
We rarely hear about the long and shameful wait of up to five years facing a person seeking to immigrate legally into the United States, or the legitimate cross-border business that finds roadblocks at every turn. Kolbe consistently pushed the government to treat the people caught in this bureaucratic wastelands with respect. To be sure, he was a strong advocate of tougher border enforcement, but he knew that enforcement should be only a single component of a much bigger strategy.
This man is honest, candid and outspoken and unpopular:( at home(arizona) because of that. But the keyword here is candid and well-informed:). If the EB retrogression is presented properly to him, he could be an effective voice in the house.
Now, does anyone live in Arizona's 8th congressional district who can do something here. Arizona's 8th is most of Tucson, eastern Pima County, all of Cochise County and parts of Pinal and Santa Cruz Counties.
The congressman's official site is http://www.house.gov/kolbe/
Logic,
This is good info. We must try to get a meeting with the congressman. I'm sure we can find someone from AZ to help. If not, one of us can travel there and present our case.
SJ
reedandbamboo
01-25 05:33 PM
Flying through Asian Countires is not an option for people residing in East Coast. I am travelling to India in the next week Via Amsterdam. I am told by the consulate that we do not need Transit Visas. My H1B Visa is expired and I am travelling on AP. Did any one hear differently?
Thanks
This confirms what my travel agent told me .. I'm flying next week to India on NWA (JFK-Amsterdam-HYD) .. I will be travelling on AP with an unstamped H1B .. No Transit Visa required!
Thanks
This confirms what my travel agent told me .. I'm flying next week to India on NWA (JFK-Amsterdam-HYD) .. I will be travelling on AP with an unstamped H1B .. No Transit Visa required!
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trramesh
01-16 08:10 AM
I voted, but the total number of votes is too small that it may be dusted out. I am planning to send emails to my groups to vote for this.
Many seem to be interested, but not showing it in action. Guys, do something than do nothing and blame your bad luck later.
rammy
Many seem to be interested, but not showing it in action. Guys, do something than do nothing and blame your bad luck later.
rammy
more...
nkavjs
09-25 12:41 PM
Ok pull your I-140 approval notice.
Go on Beneficiary name.
Along the lines of your name.. shd be a number starting with A number. Thats your Alien number. Its on mine..
Goodluck
Go on Beneficiary name.
Along the lines of your name.. shd be a number starting with A number. Thats your Alien number. Its on mine..
Goodluck
nrk
10-19 10:21 AM
Congrats..
Not been a close tracker all these years, but it all changed at the beginning of October ;)
But, both my wife and I received CPO e-mails this morning. No welcome e-mails.
These are some important events in my journey -
First H1-B - October 2004 (Company X)
Labor (regular) filed on Jan 20th, 2005 (EB2)
I-140 filed in August 2006 (Company X)
I-140 approval in June 2007
I-485 filed August 2007 (Company X) (EB2, India)
Second H1-B in October 2007 (Company X)
Applied for EADs and APs twice since filing our I-485s (Company X)
Wife and I had a USCIS interview in July 2009 (Company X)
One LUD immediately after the interview
No RFEs ever
Case status showed up as in the "initial review" stage till this morning when the status changed to "Document Production or Oath Ceremony"
Not been a close tracker all these years, but it all changed at the beginning of October ;)
But, both my wife and I received CPO e-mails this morning. No welcome e-mails.
These are some important events in my journey -
First H1-B - October 2004 (Company X)
Labor (regular) filed on Jan 20th, 2005 (EB2)
I-140 filed in August 2006 (Company X)
I-140 approval in June 2007
I-485 filed August 2007 (Company X) (EB2, India)
Second H1-B in October 2007 (Company X)
Applied for EADs and APs twice since filing our I-485s (Company X)
Wife and I had a USCIS interview in July 2009 (Company X)
One LUD immediately after the interview
No RFEs ever
Case status showed up as in the "initial review" stage till this morning when the status changed to "Document Production or Oath Ceremony"
more...
CADude
09-24 11:02 PM
Write/fax to congressman/senator/USCIS complaint dept, if you wish so. It's better than doing nothing. my 2 cents.
Delivered to Mickels at 9:01 on Jul 2nd to NSC. No CC, no receipt, nothing!! Wondering what to do !!
Delivered to Mickels at 9:01 on Jul 2nd to NSC. No CC, no receipt, nothing!! Wondering what to do !!
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singhv_1980
01-28 01:46 PM
I came across a couple who got their H1B approvals last yr with in 3 weeks to each other. One of them was in PIMS and other one not. So I feel approval date does not seem to be a criteria to base these delays upon.:confused:
Good Luck to everyone including myself!:(
Good Luck to everyone including myself!:(
more...
kshitijnt
05-11 12:11 AM
See the url below.
http://www.informationweek.com/news/global-cio/training/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=215900774&subSection=H1B
I don't give a damn what your epics say or what you practice in India. All I pointed out was teh corruption in India pointed out by international agencies compared to western democracies.
Oh there is no corruption in western democracies. :) LOL
Iraq war had no corruption
Halliburton deal had no corruption,
AIG had no corruption, BOA , Citi had no corruption.
Lobbying had no corruption
The texas cops who took money were not corrupt.
Abu Ghraib was very morally correct.
Blackwater was a very level headed company.
Did all this happen in some communist eastern state?
http://www.informationweek.com/news/global-cio/training/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=215900774&subSection=H1B
I don't give a damn what your epics say or what you practice in India. All I pointed out was teh corruption in India pointed out by international agencies compared to western democracies.
Oh there is no corruption in western democracies. :) LOL
Iraq war had no corruption
Halliburton deal had no corruption,
AIG had no corruption, BOA , Citi had no corruption.
Lobbying had no corruption
The texas cops who took money were not corrupt.
Abu Ghraib was very morally correct.
Blackwater was a very level headed company.
Did all this happen in some communist eastern state?
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hpandey
09-23 04:42 PM
There seem to be 19 applications from 1998 and 25 applications from 1999. I wonder how come these have not been approved in 10 years while their dates have been current almost all the time. Either these have been abdandoned or are not approvable.
I think its time for USCIS to do some cleaning up also to close applications where the applicants are no longer there , have abandoned the applications , left the country and so on. That would surely reduce some of the stuff from the queue.
I think its time for USCIS to do some cleaning up also to close applications where the applicants are no longer there , have abandoned the applications , left the country and so on. That would surely reduce some of the stuff from the queue.
more...
aristotle
05-22 06:53 PM
thanks, I am going to look into that also.
I am still trying to talk the old employer. Is it such a big deal that they cant even write a letter of future employment for me? i told them that they are not obligated to hire me but they are scared that they are trying to show that they are in losses and that by filing for a GC and promising a future employment they will not be able to show that they are suffering losses.
Why is it so difficult and complicated?
I am losing hope in it.
There is no harm in trying the new application in parallel. Assuming your employer is paying for it/you can afford the extra fees. Time is critical as CIR might mess things up if you delay too much.
I am still trying to talk the old employer. Is it such a big deal that they cant even write a letter of future employment for me? i told them that they are not obligated to hire me but they are scared that they are trying to show that they are in losses and that by filing for a GC and promising a future employment they will not be able to show that they are suffering losses.
Why is it so difficult and complicated?
I am losing hope in it.
There is no harm in trying the new application in parallel. Assuming your employer is paying for it/you can afford the extra fees. Time is critical as CIR might mess things up if you delay too much.
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puddonhead
10-24 08:42 AM
just when I thought I came up with an innovate idea to get more funds to help us, I see you already thought about this before I did.
I'm planning on sining up for vonage. Please send me an IM and I'll respond back.
Because both of us are saving $50 each, I expect you will donate at least $25, and I'll will donate $25 for my part.
Thanks for supporting IV.
Sent you a PM...
I'm planning on sining up for vonage. Please send me an IM and I'll respond back.
Because both of us are saving $50 each, I expect you will donate at least $25, and I'll will donate $25 for my part.
Thanks for supporting IV.
Sent you a PM...
more...
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sai
12-31 07:57 AM
What are the bills that are comming up in FEB 2006 ?
Can any one post the details please...
Can any one post the details please...
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ronhira
09-29 11:43 AM
looks like uscis figured out that we r accessing the backlog data that they did not yet publish...... they pulled down the pdf document
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/New%20Structure/2nd%20Level%20(Left%20Nav%20Parents)/Green%20Card%20-%202nd%20Level/Pending%20Form%20I-485%20Reports.pdf
this link is not working now.
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/New%20Structure/2nd%20Level%20(Left%20Nav%20Parents)/Green%20Card%20-%202nd%20Level/Pending%20Form%20I-485%20Reports.pdf
this link is not working now.
more...
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GCSOON-Ihope
04-20 12:26 PM
A friend of mine forgot (!!) :confused: to renew his EAD when it expired last September. He then applied for renewal 60 days after the expiration date and got his new EAD without any problem, no questions asked!
I filed for my own renewal about 90 days before the expiration date and when about 85 days had passed and I was getting worried, I called USCIS and was told: " Do you need the card to show your employer that you are legal? No? Then, don't worry about it. As long as you applied on-time, you are fine." I actually received the EAD five days after the expiration date...
These two experiences are from California Center.
I filed for my own renewal about 90 days before the expiration date and when about 85 days had passed and I was getting worried, I called USCIS and was told: " Do you need the card to show your employer that you are legal? No? Then, don't worry about it. As long as you applied on-time, you are fine." I actually received the EAD five days after the expiration date...
These two experiences are from California Center.
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conchshell
07-09 09:13 PM
Please do not feel violated by what Smitha mentioned. If we claim that we follow Gandhi's path, than we must act on it. Smitha has her own way of thinking and even though we disagree, kindly respect her point of view. She has suffered as much as any of us has suffered in past days/months/years.
Smitha, I would like to remind you about an incident from India's freedom struggle. When M. K. Gandhi requested the nation to start burning the cloths that were made in Great Britain, most of the people felt that it was inappropriate. What can you achieve by burning your own cloths? But later on an entire nation saw the power behind civil disobedience. Even the people who were worst affected by Swadesi Movement (the cloth mill workers of Britain: who lost their jobs-bread-butter because of less demand) realized that this was done to support a just cause.
I would like to quote a poem by C. Rajagopalachari:
Victory is certain, O Mind!!
Away with false fear.
Devotion bears its fruit.
Shoulders we have, Broad and strong, And intelligence.
We can gather what we work for.
Unalterable law protects Our efforts unflagging.
Away then with fear and despondency!
So I urge you to be away then with false fear and despondency. Sending flowers is humane and certainly not illegal.
Smitha, I would like to remind you about an incident from India's freedom struggle. When M. K. Gandhi requested the nation to start burning the cloths that were made in Great Britain, most of the people felt that it was inappropriate. What can you achieve by burning your own cloths? But later on an entire nation saw the power behind civil disobedience. Even the people who were worst affected by Swadesi Movement (the cloth mill workers of Britain: who lost their jobs-bread-butter because of less demand) realized that this was done to support a just cause.
I would like to quote a poem by C. Rajagopalachari:
Victory is certain, O Mind!!
Away with false fear.
Devotion bears its fruit.
Shoulders we have, Broad and strong, And intelligence.
We can gather what we work for.
Unalterable law protects Our efforts unflagging.
Away then with fear and despondency!
So I urge you to be away then with false fear and despondency. Sending flowers is humane and certainly not illegal.
more...
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gc_on_demand
09-12 07:32 PM
------------------------------------------------------
Update
------------------------------------------------------
We have learned that in all probability House Judiciary committee will finishing marking up HR5882 in the next committee meeting. The bill is likely to be brought to the House floor the following week. We have been told that if our bill(s) pass the House, Senate will include the language of the bill(s) in another Senate bill that has majority support. We must admit that the time is shot but its still possible.
We request everyone that starting monday, please call all the members of Judiciary committee. Thanks to the members who have already made phone calls to the lawmaker's office. We request you to please call again to show your support starting Monday.
Thanks,
You have given me new ray of hope... I will re call commettie members as well as local congressmen again.
Update
------------------------------------------------------
We have learned that in all probability House Judiciary committee will finishing marking up HR5882 in the next committee meeting. The bill is likely to be brought to the House floor the following week. We have been told that if our bill(s) pass the House, Senate will include the language of the bill(s) in another Senate bill that has majority support. We must admit that the time is shot but its still possible.
We request everyone that starting monday, please call all the members of Judiciary committee. Thanks to the members who have already made phone calls to the lawmaker's office. We request you to please call again to show your support starting Monday.
Thanks,
You have given me new ray of hope... I will re call commettie members as well as local congressmen again.
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funny
09-09 03:34 PM
Please call all Numbers except co-sponsors ...
Find people And ask everyone else also to call ...
Guys it won't take more then 15 minutes of your time..PLEASE CALL
Find people And ask everyone else also to call ...
Guys it won't take more then 15 minutes of your time..PLEASE CALL
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walking_dude
10-29 11:18 AM
Yes, we must all understand that AC21 is not a law.
The correct way of stating it is AC21 Act of 2000, signed by Pres. Clinton is law of the land. But, that law doesn't come into effect until and unless the concerned Government department (in this case USCIS) publishes the regulations in the Federal Register. This hasn't happened so far with AC21 law, though we are approaching a decade of it's passage.
An unfortunate example I can give to illustrate the point is the U & T visas created by US Congress some years back to help victims of sexual-trafficking and domestic violence to remain in the country and adjust status to LPRs. Unfortunately for these hapless victims, they couldn't get the benefit of these visas as USCIS did not make the regulations for years. ( I'm not sure of the status now).
There is a saying that 'what the legislature gave in the law, the department took away in regulations'. Department can deny the benefits in two ways. Delaying/not framing the regulations or framing them in such a way as to take away the benefits of the law.
The correct way of stating it is AC21 Act of 2000, signed by Pres. Clinton is law of the land. But, that law doesn't come into effect until and unless the concerned Government department (in this case USCIS) publishes the regulations in the Federal Register. This hasn't happened so far with AC21 law, though we are approaching a decade of it's passage.
An unfortunate example I can give to illustrate the point is the U & T visas created by US Congress some years back to help victims of sexual-trafficking and domestic violence to remain in the country and adjust status to LPRs. Unfortunately for these hapless victims, they couldn't get the benefit of these visas as USCIS did not make the regulations for years. ( I'm not sure of the status now).
There is a saying that 'what the legislature gave in the law, the department took away in regulations'. Department can deny the benefits in two ways. Delaying/not framing the regulations or framing them in such a way as to take away the benefits of the law.
americandesi
03-24 05:50 PM
I've seen many job ads asking for US citizens or GC holders only. That implies that EAD and H1B holders cannot apply. And at the same time at the end of the ad, u can see a text that says "xxx is an equal opportunity employer". Though both the statements are contradictory, companies post such ads. Not sure though if companies are allowed to have such policies. If so, why?
Pls refer the link from DOJ posted above. It clearly states that "US citizen and "green-card" (i.e., permanent resident) only policies are generally prohibited, unless required by law, regulation, or government contract"
Pls refer the link from DOJ posted above. It clearly states that "US citizen and "green-card" (i.e., permanent resident) only policies are generally prohibited, unless required by law, regulation, or government contract"
ashres11
09-21 01:34 PM
See if you can find the director GERALD HEINAUER @ NSC or any senior executive. I will give a call and demand answers.
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www.superpages.com ---> people search
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